Weather Blog

March 9: Sunny Today, But More Rain On The Way

Through the first week of March, the average temperature in the Triangle is running 4.4 degrees below-average…a trend that’s likely to continue through most of next week. Since springtime temperatures aren’t in the forecast anytime soon, here’s a corgi in a field of flowers.
Feel better?

We started off this morning with our coldest temperatures in almost five weeks:
We’ll see abundant sunshine throughout the day, which will help temperatures warm up to the low 50s:
That’s better than yesterday, but still 10 degrees below normal.
 
Clouds will thicken tonight, and we’ll start the day with a chance of showers as warmer air moves in from the south:


Temperatures will reach the upper 50s in the Triangle, the low 60s in the Sand Hills and along the southern Coastal Plain:
 
Sunday looks…gross. Temperatures will be stuck in the 40s, and chilly rain will fall off-and-on throughout the day:


 
Temperatures will drop enough by Monday morning for a chance of a rain/snow mix, especially to the northwest of the Triangle:


But the ground will be wet and relatively warm, and air temperatures should still be slightly above freezing, so I don’t anticipate any widespread travel issues. It’s obviously something we’ll keep a close eye on over the weekend.

Little ripples in the atmosphere overhead will give us at least a slight shower chance Tuesday and Wednesday, before the forecast finally dries out and warms up late next week:
We could even be back into the 60s by St. Patrick’s Day!

We don’t have ANY thunderstorms in the forecast this week, but this is North Carolina Severe Weather Preparedness Week. We’ve been highlighting a different subject each day, to help you mentally gear up for the springtime severe weather season. Today’s topic is “flash flood safety.” Flash flooding occurs when a large amount of rain falls in an area over a short period of time. In the past 10 years, flash flooding has occurred in North Carolina over 1000 times, amounting to damages on the order of hundreds of millions of dollars, and resulting in numerous fatalities. The ground can only soak up so much water in a given time, and when the rain rate exceeds what can infiltrate into the ground or run off into drainage systems or streams, flooding is likely to occur. Hurricanes, tropical storms, and ordinary thunderstorms can produce flash flooding. More people die from floods each year than from tornadoes, lightning, or hurricanes — on average, flooding claims the lives of 89 people in the U.S. each year. Most of these deaths occur in vehicles when people attempt to drive through flooded roadways.

Forecasters can usually predict where flooding will occur when a hurricane or tropical storm affects an area. However, when dealing with thunderstorms, predicting flash floods can be nearly impossible due to their isolated nature. Flash floods usually occur in low-lying areas where water can collect or in cities where water runoff from impermeable surfaces can fill roads or storm drains quickly. Being prepared and knowing how to stay safe will help you and your loved ones survive a flood:

 
 
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