December 17: Dry To Start The Week

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WEATHER

The rain that fell Friday and into the first half of the weekend pushed us higher up the list of the rainiest years on record in the Triangle. This is now the 7th-wettest year since record-keeping began in 1887:

There’s more rain in the forecast later this week, but at least we’re starting off the work week with a few consecutive dry days. We’ll see plenty of sunshine today, with temperatures running several degrees above our mid-December average:

Winds will turn to the north this evening, bringing chillier air into central North Carolina:

We’ll see lots of sun again on Tuesday, but highs will be much closer to normal:

The next round of rain heads in on Thursday — at this point it looks like we’ll be able to avoid any severe weather or flooding threats, so it’s just going to be WET. The European forecast model’s simulation from 7am Thursday through 7am Saturday shows the heaviest rain falling Thursday afternoon and evening, with a wedge of dry air reducing our shower chances for Friday:
Total rainfall amounts could approach one inch or even a little more in central North Carolina, but the heaviest rain is aimed at the coast right now.

Once that system moves through, we’ll dry out for Christmas weekend:

Looking ahead to the holiday itself, don’t get your hopes up for a white Christmas. Statistically, there’s only a 3% chance of seeing 1″ of snow on the ground on the morning of December 25:The long-range forecast data is conforming to that pattern — the European forecast model’s ensemble shows bare ground on Christmas morning:The way-too-soon forecast for Christmas Day is for partly cloudy skies and near-normal temps:We’ll keep you updated as the holiday gets closer!

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