January 14: Gradually Improving Weather This Week

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This weekend’s storm system behaved pretty much as-forecast, with mostly cold rain in the Triangle and some icy accumulations to the north and west. The brunt of the winter storm’s impact was felt in Virginia and western North Carolina — the Triad had some ice problems yesterday morning, so it was a close call here in central North Carolina. While the rain is gone, the cloud cover is going to stubbornly stick around today and tonight…the clouds will keep temperatures well below average today:

Temperatures will only drop back down to around freezing tonight:

We’ll finally start to see some cracks in the cloud cover Tuesday morning, with partly cloudy skies overhead by Tuesday afternoon. Temperatures will still be cool, but we’re making progress:

After a cold start on Wednesday, we’ll bounce back to the mid 50s — that’s slightly above-average, and the warmer air will stick around through the first half of the weekend:

Two rain chances dominate the back half of the 7-day forecast, the first of which will move in after sunset on Thursday. This is the European forecast model’s radar simulation from 1:00pm Thursday through 1:00pm Friday — it shows any chance of wintry precipitation avoiding us this time around:

The forecast dries out Friday after a few early-morning showers, and it looks like we’ll stay dry through most of the day Saturday before the next rain-maker moves in Saturday night and Sunday. Back to the European model, from 7:00am Saturday through 7:00am Monday:Yes, that’s a little snow showing up at the end, as a chunk of cold air catches up to the last of the moisture. But don’t get your hopes up for a winter wonderland — the same forecast model estimates less than a 20% chance of even 1″ of snow accumulation:Obviously we’ll keep a close eye on it throughout the week!

I didn’t have time to mine the interwebs for science news today — the nerd-links will be back tomorrow!

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