July 31: Unsettled Weather Continues

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WEATHER

We remain stuck in this unsettled weather pattern, and it doesn’t look like the big-picture setup will budge very much through the end of the week. We’re wedged in between a storm system to our west, and a calm “Bermuda High” anchored off the Atlantic coast — the flow of air between those features will continue feeding abundant moisture up the East Coast for the rest of the week:

We’ve seen just a few isolated showers so far this morning, but we expect a much better chance of storms to develop by this afternoon and continue into this evening:Before the best storm chance takes shape, temperatures will hit the mid 80s:The HRRR model’s radar simulation through 11:00pm shows that we can’t guarantee rain for everyone, but it’s a good chance overall:A few storms could become strong — the Storm Prediction Center has included much of central North Carolina in a “Marginal Risk” (level 1 of 5) for severe weather, with damaging winds the main threat:That means we expect numerous storms, a few of which could prompt severe thunderstorm warnings. We’ll keep an eye on the radar all day, and we’ll be watching for localized flooding as well.

Tomorrow will be another unsettled day, but our rain chances will be slightly lower:

The same pattern will repeat itself on Thursday…and Friday…and maybe even Saturday:As our rain chances decrease, our temperatures will increase — we’ll be back into a “normal” early-August weather pattern next week.

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