March 1: Wet Today, Dry Tomorrow


That look on Dagny’s face pretty much says everything about today’s forecast.

After a dry and mild Thursday, it’s back to the cool, wet and gray weather today. This morning’s hit-or-miss showers are very light, but enough for you to keep the umbrella handy. Widespread heavy rain will move in from the southwest by late afternoon and ealry evening. The HRRR model’s radar simulation from 9:00am through 11:00pm shows the heaviest rain moving out by late evening:Temperatures will be stuck in the 40s all day from the Triangle to the north and west, as easterly winds keep the cool air locked in place. But it’s another day with a HUGE temperature contrast across the region — farther south, you’ll be able to warm up to around 60° despite the clouds:

The showers will move out by early Saturday morning, with locally dense fog developing. Tomorrow’s weather will be very similar to yesterday’s — partial clearing overhead will allow “filtered” sunshine to push temperatures up to the upper 50s and low to mid 60s:Most importantly, it will be DRY on Saturday!

We’ll be dry to start the day on Sunday, before more rain heads our way in the afternoon — that rain will continue in the evening and overnight. The European forecast model’s simulation from 7:00am Sunday through 7:00am Monday shows that most of the rain will be gone by sunrise on Monday:

We’ll leave a very slight shower chance in the forecast early Monday, then the forecast dries out for a few days…but it also cools off a lot! Temperatures will run about 15°-20° below-average next week:

That cold snap won’t last TOO long, though…the latest 8-14 day outlook from the Climate Prediction Center shows a decent chance of above average temperatures next weekend and into the second full week of March:

No nerd-links today, since I’m holding down the fort in both weather and traffic…

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