Spring doesn’t officially arrive until next Wednesday, but we’re getting a taste of April weather for the next couple of days. We’ll see a fair amount of cloud cover overhead today, but temperatures will still warm up to the low to mid 70s, thanks to strong southwesterly winds:
The wind will be noticeable overnight, keeping the mild air locked in place:
Still windy tomorrow, even a couple of degrees warmer!
A good chance of showers and a few storms will roll in from the west Friday afternoon and evening. The North American Model’s radar simulation from noon Friday through 6:00am Saturday shows the rain moving through pretty quickly, so we’re not looking at a soaking rain event:While the radar simulation may not look all that impressive, a few storms could become strong or maybe even severe. The combination of severe weather ingredients in the atmosphere won’t be perfect — there will be plenty of wind energy, plenty of warmth at ground level, but not much cold air in the upper atmosphere, and humidity levels won’t be all that impressive:The Storm Prediction Center hasn’t even included us in a “Marginal Risk” (their lowest category) of severe weather in tomorrow’s outlook:But the SPC’s own forecast model shows a 50%-70%+ chance of favorable severe thunderstorm ingredients around 5:00pm, as the storms are moving into central North Carolina:With that in mind, I’m not willing to rule out the possibility of a few storms triggering severe thunderstorm warnings late Friday afternoon and early Friday evening. Damaging straight-line winds would be the primary threat, but a few storms could rotate as well…so we’ll keep a close eye on things:
Once the rain moves out, skies will clear out and we’ll cool down for the weekend. Both Saturday and Sunday still look DRY, before slight rain chances dot the forecast a couple of days next week:Temperatures will run 5°-10° below-average next week, so the first day of spring may not feel all that spring-like, especially early in the day.
- A look at how that massive storm system in the central U.S. formed and intensified.
- This latest big winter storm is powered by “bombogenesis” — the weather term is less scary than the national media makes it sound. Here’s a look at what it really means.
- I said this in passing yesterday, but here’s an in-depth look at why the “Bomb Cyclone” is NOT an inland hurricane.
- That storm isn’t just bringing blizzard conditions to the Plains…it’s also threatening to cause dangerous flooding in Midwest and severe weather in the mid-South.
- Elsewhere in the world, Africa is getting hit simultaneously with Saharan Dust and Cyclone Idai — both weather-related extremes threatening a vulnerable region.
- Out of 5.2 million possible climate futures that scientists analyzed, only a few are what we could call “acceptable”.
- How we could harness the power of “collective intelligence” to change beliefs about global warming.
- How a Kentucky coal company is transforming old mining sites into solar farms.
- States in the southwestern U.S. have made large strides on renewable energy targets.
- Solar power stations in orbit could provide a large amount of the Earth’s energy.
- How much damage could a solar storm really do to our high-tech society?
- Moon rocks from the Apollo missions have been sealed in storage for the last 50 years. NASA has finally decided the time has come to open them, selecting nine teams to garner their long-hidden secrets.
- A look at what the White House’s proposed budget would do to NASA.
- What were conditions like when life first became possible on Earth? (For a much, MUCH longer look at the topic, I highly recommend “Wonders Of Life” from the BBC.)