March 29: Feeling Like Spring!

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WEATHER

Now THIS is more like it! Temperatures warmed up into the 60s yesterday, and we started off with “normally cool” lows this morning. Abundant sunshine and a strengthening wind from the southwest will warm us up very nicely today, into the low to mid 70s this afternoon:

The wind will die down after sunset, but there will be just enough of a breeze tonight to stir around the atmosphere and keep temperatures from dropping too far:

We’ll see more clouds on Saturday, but the southwesterly wind will be even stronger…so temperatures will still make it back into the mid 70s, a degree or two warmer than today:

The next chance of rain heads our way on Sunday — still some questions regarding the specific timing, but I think the rainiest time frame will be from late morning into early afternoon. The European forecast model’s hour-by-hour simulation from 6:00am through 10:00pm Sunday shows the rain moving through:

A big cool-down will follow up that rain, with temperatures dropping to the 30s by Monday morning, and only warming up to the 50s by Monday afternoon. Monday looks like it will be dry, before a developing coastal storm system sends in the next round of rain on Tuesday. Returning to the European forecast model, from 8:00pm Monday through 8:00am Wednesday, it shows a flat-our WET Tuesday:The American GFS model is in pretty agreement — its simulation for the same time frame does show the whole storm system a little farther east, but still plenty of rain around here:However, a third forecast model, the UKMET, keeps the whole system offshore:That model is an outlier right now, but it has a reliable-enough track record that I’m not going to go higher than 60% with Tuesday’s rain chances right now.

We’ll dry out Wednesday and start warming up again on Thursday — all which means we get to go on quite a ride on the temperature roller-coaster over the next 7 days:

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