March 7: Slowly Warming Up

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WEATHER

Temperatures started off in the low to mid 20s again this morning…but I’m cautiously optimistic that this is the coldest air we’ll feel for the rest of spring.

We’ll warm up to the upper 40s and low 50s this afternoon, despite increasing clouds overhead:

Those clouds will continue to thicken overnight, so temperatures won’t be quite as cold:

We’ll stay dry through the first half of Friday, with highs back up to around 50°:Rain showers will move in during the afternoon and continue into the evening — it will be hit-or-miss activity, but I’d count on wet roads for Friday evening’s commute. The North American Model’s radar simulation from 9:00am Friday through 3:00am Saturday shows the wintry stuff missing us to the north, with the rain moving out late Friday night:

Saturday will be a cloudy, cool, generally damp day, but it doesn’t look like we’ll see much in the way of measurable rain until Saturday night. That rain will continue into much of Sunday, as shown here on the European forecast model’s simulation (from 2:00pm Saturday through 2:00pm Sunday):The forecast models aren’t indicating much in the way of “storm fuel” to produce any thunder with the rain…but the Storm Prediction Center has included our counties along the southern Coastal Plain in their extended severe thunderstorm outlook:At this point, I think that threat will stay closer to the coast, but it’s something we’ll keep an eye on just in case.

The winds will shift on Sunday, which means a big warm-up will finally kick in. The mild air stick around into Monday, before we cool off slightly Tuesday and Wednesday:

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