NC State researchers predict ‘normal’ hurricane season

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RALEIGH, N.C. (WNCN) – N.C. State researchers predict 13 to 16 named storms will form in the Atlantic basin during the 2019 hurricane season. 

The average number of named storms from 1950 to 2018 sits at 11 but that number has ticked up slightly from 1995 to 2018 with 14. 

That number of storms has Lian Xie, professor of marine, earth and atmospheric sciences at N.C. State, saying it will be a “normal” hurricane season.

Five to seven could form into hurricanes with two or three strengthening to major hurricanes. 

N.C. State said Xie evaluates more than 100 years of historical data looking at hurricane positions and intensity – among other factors. 

Xie also notes an ongoing weak El Niño will cause some uncertainty into this forecast. 

Xia Sun, graduate research assistant in marine, earth and atmospheric sciences at N.C. State, also contributed to the research.

Hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.

The National Hurricane Center listed 14 storms that formed in the Atlantic basin in 2018. 

  • Tropical Storm Alberto
  • Hurricane Beryl
  • Hurricane Chris
  • Tropical Storm Debby
  • Tropical Storm Ernesto
  • Tropical Storm Gordon 
  • Hurricane Helene
  • Hurricane Isaac
  • Tropical Storm Joyce
  • Tropical Depression Eleven
  • Tropical Storm Kirk
  • Hurricane Leslie
  • Tropical Storm Nadine
  • Hurricane Oscar

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