Humberto near Bermuda, Jerry getting stronger in the Atlantic


Hurricane Humberto is still a major Category 3 storm with 120 mph maximum sustained winds. Monday night into Tuesday morning the system will pass just north of Bermuda.

The center of circulation — and the most intense part of the hurricane — will just miss Bermuda to the north. After it travels just north of Bermuda, Humberto will move over the cooler water of the North Atlantic, and will merge with a larger storm system to become “post-tropical” by the end of the week.

The CBS 17 Storm Team will continue to close monitor Humberto over the next few days, but the storm will NOT have any direct impact on central North Carolina’s weather.

We’re also watching the two newest tropical systems of the Atlantic season — Tropical Depression #11 formed Tuesday and was upgraded to Tropical Storm Imelda Tuesday afternoon just off the coast of Texas. It was then downgraded to a tropical depression again Tuesday night.

No matter the name or category, Imelda will bring heavy rainfall and flooding to southeast Texas, including the Houston metro area. It will track slowly inland the rest of the week.

Farther out in the Atlantic, we’re also tracking newly-named Tropical Storm Jerry. The storm is still a thousand miles to the east of the Leeward Islands (the chain that marks the entrance to the Caribbean) and more than 2000 miles away from the North Carolina coast.

The National Hurricane Center anticipates that Jerry will become a hurricane by late Thursday. It’s unlikely to directly impact land for the next few days as it tracks to the west-northwest.

The extended NHC outlook shows Jerry tracking just north of the Caribbean over the weekend, then turning to the north before it reaches the Bahamas. The long-range forecast data agrees with that assessment, keeping Jerry away from the East Coast of the U.S.

That’s a long way off in forecasting terms, so we’ll continue to watch the latest trends in the forecast data.

There are also two other disturbances worth watching in the Caribbean and Atlantic Ocean. One disorganized area of clouds and showers in the Caribbean only has a 10% chance of developing in the next 5 days.

The system even farther out past Tropical Storm Jerry has a 30% chance of developing in the next 5 days.

The CBS 17 Storm Team will have you covered through the rest of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season.

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