Hurricane Jerry intensified throughout the day on Thursday, but has weakened today. Maximum sustained winds are down to 85 mph as of 11:00am, making it a Category 1 hurricane.
The weakening trend is forecast to continue this weekend The National Hurricane Center anticipates that Jerry will become tropical storm over weekend as it tracks to the west-northwest, just north of the islands of the Caribbean. The storm is still likely to bring gusty winds and heavy rain to the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico today and tonight, even though the center of circulation will stay north.
The extended NHC outlook shows Jerry turning to the north before reaching the Bahamas. Jerry then will be near Bermuda on early Wednesday, re-intensifying to become a Category 1 hurricane again.
The long-range forecast data strongly agrees with that assessment, keeping Jerry away from the East Coast of the U.S.
That’s still a long way off in forecasting terms, so we’ll continue to watch the latest trends in the forecast data. At this point it doesn’t look like the storm will have any impact on central North Carolina’s weather.
The other two named storms are dissipating: Hurricane Humberto has officially become post-tropical as it moves into the north Atlantic, and the remnants of Tropical Depression Imelda are finally falling apart over southeast Texas.
There are also three other disturbances worth watching in the Caribbean and Atlantic Ocean. One disorganized area of clouds and showers in the Caribbean only has a 10% chance of developing in the next 5 days.
The system to the southeast of Hurricane Jerry has a 30% chance of developing in the next 5 days.
Finally, a cluster of storms still over western Africa has a 70% chance of becoming at least a tropical depression once it emerges over the tropical Atlantic in the next 5 days…but it won’t travel close to land for at least a week, even if it intensifies further.
The CBS 17 Storm Team will have you covered through the rest of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season.