Tropical Storm Jerry is now a Category 2 hurricane that is still more than 1600 miles away from the North Carolina coast. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph with higher gusts. A gradual weakening trend is forecast to begin by late Friday.
The National Hurricane Center anticipates that Jerry will stay a Cat 2 storm through Friday night before weakening this weekend. It’s unlikely to directly impact land for the next few days as it tracks to the west-northwest, just north of the islands of the Caribbean.
The extended NHC outlook shows Jerry staying around Category 1 hurricane status through this weekend as it turns to the north before reaching the Bahamas. Jerry then will be near Bermuda on Tuesday, still as a Category 1 hurricane.
The long-range forecast data mostly agrees with that assessment, keeping Jerry away from the East Coast of the U.S.
That’s a long way off in forecasting terms, so we’ll continue to watch the latest trends in the forecast data. At this point it doesn’t look like the storm will have any direct impact on central North Carolina’s weather.
Hurricane Humberto has officially become post-tropical as it moves into the north Atlantic, although winds were still near 100 mph.
Along the Gulf of Mexico coast, the remnants of Tropical Depression Imelda are bringing heavy rainfall, flooding and tornadoes to southeast Texas. Significant flooding has occurred in the Houston area this morning, and more flooding is likely the rest of the day. It will track slowly inland and dissipate tomorrow and Saturday, causing still more flooding.
There are also two other disturbances worth watching in the Caribbean and Atlantic Ocean. One disorganized area of clouds and showers in the Caribbean only has a 10% chance of developing in the next 5 days. The system even farther east of Hurricane Jerry has a 30% chance of developing in the next 5 days.
The CBS 17 Storm Team will have you covered through the rest of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season.