Karen forms Sunday in the Caribbean, still watching Jerry, and soon-to-be Lorenzo


Tropical Storm Karen became the 11th named storm of the season on Sunday. Winds are 40 mph, and it is forecast to move through the southern Lesser Antilles through the day into early Monday before it sets its sights on Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands on Tuesday.

After Puerto Rico, there are questions as to where Karen heads. Some models keep Karen meandering in the Atlantic as the ridge of high pressure that will keep us warm through the end of the week may block Karen from going anywhere. Some of models then send Karen under the ridge back towards the United States. With Karen now formed, model runs through the day should start to paint a clearer picture, hopefully, as to what happens with Karen.

Jerry is still kicking in the Atlantic as it moves away from Puerto Rico. It should move north of Bermuda and will get absorbed by a cold front later this week. It is no threat to the United States.

Coming off Africa is a new tropical depression that should strengthen into a hurricane. It would be named Lorenzo. It should also stay out to sea and be no threat to land as it passes south of the Cape Verde Islands.

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